{"id":2032,"date":"2019-05-11T21:06:32","date_gmt":"2019-05-12T01:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/?p=2032"},"modified":"2019-05-11T21:16:42","modified_gmt":"2019-05-12T01:16:42","slug":"predicting-the-2019-ncbl-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/2019\/05\/11\/predicting-the-2019-ncbl-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Predicting the 2019 NCBL Season"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The NCBL season may have technically started last night (Friday) with the Outlaws winning 9-5 over the 2020 Tier 3 Braves, but everyone knows that was more like when the Mariners play their opener in Japan: That\u2019s not the start of the true season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The real Opening Day is tomorrow (Sunday), with 7 games with playoff implications on the slate.\u00a0\u00a0Teams will continue to play for the next 4+ months to determine pennant and championship winners, and most will at some point name a Most Valuable Player.\u00a0\u00a0But why wait until September to figure out what\u2019s going to happen?\u00a0\u00a0I\u2019ve evaluated the rosters, run the numbers, talked to a number of experts, and have successfully projected the 2019 season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stop reading now if you don\u2019t want to know what\u2019s going to happen.&nbsp;&nbsp;This is \u201csnap\u201d level spoilers coming up.&nbsp;&nbsp;You\u2019ve been warned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Tier 1<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Full disclosure: Up until they folded, our projections had the Panthers winning the Tier 1 Pennant (24-0) and sweeping the playoffs (7-0).\u00a0\u00a0In fact, even for a few days after they folded our projections still had them going 12-12 and making a deep run into the playoffs.\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s how good they were.\u00a0\u00a0But now that their players have scattered across the league, a new champion has been found.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"540\" height=\"239\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2034\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier1.jpg 540w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier1-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>QuarterFinal-1<\/strong>: Mudd over Brewers<br><strong>QuarterFinal-2<\/strong>: River Rats over Battalion<br><strong>QuarterFinal-3<\/strong>: Athletics over Winchester<br><strong>QuarterFInal-4<\/strong>: Marc Sports over Cubs<br><strong>SemiFinal-1<\/strong>: Mudd over Athletics<br><strong>SemiFinal-2<\/strong>: River Rats over Marc Sports<br><strong>Championship<\/strong>: Mudd over River Rats (3-2, River Rats were up 2-0, obviously)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Congratulations to the Mudd, formerly from Metcalfe, your 2019 Tier 1 Champions!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier1mvp-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2042\" width=\"382\" height=\"236\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier1mvp-1.jpg 382w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier1mvp-1-300x185.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 382px) 100vw, 382px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Tier 2<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uh oh, it looks like Pete Gauthier probably gets hurt in game 5 of the regular season. Speedy recovery my man.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"540\" height=\"237\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2036\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier2.jpg 540w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier2-300x132.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>QuarterFinal-1<\/strong>: Blue Jays over Cardinals<br><strong>QuarterFinal-2<\/strong>: Black Sox over Red Sox<br><strong>QuarterFinal-3<\/strong>: Outlaws over Sharks<br><strong>QuarterFInal-4<\/strong>: Braves over Expos<br><strong>SemiFinal-1<\/strong>: Blue Jays over Outlaws<br><strong>SemiFinal-2<\/strong>: Braves over Black Sox<br><strong>Championship<\/strong>: Braves over Blue Jays\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Congratulations to the Braves, your 2019 Tier 2 Champions! Forget Tier 3, one more last season in Tier 2!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"385\" height=\"240\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier2mvp.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2037\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier2mvp.jpg 385w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier2mvp-300x187.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 385px) 100vw, 385px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Tier 3<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Never before has a division, in any league, in any sport, had so much parity.\u00a0\u00a0Commissioner Beelen will be unable to figure out who plays who in the playoffs, since every team will have scored the same number of runs, and given up the same number of runs (in the same innings too).\u00a0\u00a0He cancels the playoffs and declares the Coyotes champions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"536\" height=\"218\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier3.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2038\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier3.jpg 536w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier3-300x122.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 536px) 100vw, 536px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Congratulations to the Coyotes, your 2019 Tier 3 Champions!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"383\" height=\"217\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier3mvp.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2039\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier3mvp.jpg 383w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier3mvp-300x170.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 383px) 100vw, 383px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Tier 4<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fresh off of winning the 2018 Lanark Invitational, the Beckwith Bandits will ride that momentum into a wonderful 2019 season.  They&#8217;ll go on to double their wins from last year, then double that, then double that, and then win 2 more just for fun.  In any other previous year that would be more than enough, but there has never been a Ferda in any previous year&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"541\" height=\"282\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier4.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2040\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier4.jpg 541w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier4-300x156.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 541px) 100vw, 541px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tie Breaker<\/strong>: Heat over Bombers<br><strong>QuarterFinal-1<\/strong>: Ferda over Heat<br><strong>QuarterFinal-2<\/strong>: Barons over Bandits<br><strong>QuarterFinal-3<\/strong>: STD over Irish<br><strong>QuarterFinal-4<\/strong>: The Reverse Vampires over Braumeisters<br><strong>SemiFinal-1<\/strong>: Ferda over Barons<br><strong>SemiFinal-2<\/strong>: The Reverse Vampires over STD<br><strong>Championship<\/strong>: Ferda over The Reverse Vampires<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Congratulations to the Ferda Baseball Club, who will run the table (27-0) with ease; your 2019 Tier 4 Champions!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"384\" height=\"278\" src=\"http:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier4mvp.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2041\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier4mvp.jpg 384w, https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/tier4mvp-300x217.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 384px) 100vw, 384px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s all folks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you missed the latest news about the NCBL&#8217;s Social Media Committee, be sure to check it out here:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The NCBL is changing, and you&#39;d better change with it. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/g4v9EvCia4\">https:\/\/t.co\/g4v9EvCia4<\/a><\/p>&mdash; SweatSox (@SweatSox) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SweatSox\/status\/1126562056021467137?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 9, 2019<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NCBL season may have technically started last night (Friday) with the Outlaws winning 9-5 over the 2020 Tier 3 Braves, but everyone knows that was more like when the Mariners play their opener in Japan: That\u2019s not the start of the true season. The real Opening Day is tomorrow (Sunday), with 7 games with&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2033,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[101,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breaking-news","category-ncbl"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/stengelcrystalball.jpg","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p41pWP-wM","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2032"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2047,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2032\/revisions\/2047"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sweatsoxbaseball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}